Quantifying the spatial implications of future land use policies in South Africa: Reshaping a city through land use modelling

Abstract

Land use policies have a definite and lasting impact on the way that cities grow, however, the change in land use only gets observed many years later. As such, it is difficult for policy and decision makers to observe and quantify the implications of their land use policies and strategies and what it might or might not mean for a city's landscape a decade or more from now. This research study sets out to investigate the consequences of the Johannesburg Growth Management Strategy proposed policy. The Dyna-Clue model was used to compare the spatial impact of two different scenarios, thus answering the question whether the proposed policies will restore the city¿s inequality by the year 2030.