Using the Conformal-Cubic Atmospheric Model
(CCAM), the project shows that the largest ensemble at high resolution is the best system to predict rainfall over southern Africa. Future research will explore whether the CCAM at higher resolution and with an
ensemble system larger than eight members could produce even better rainfall forecasts.
Reference:
Park, R, Landman, WA and Engelbrecht, F. A short-range ensemble prediction system for southern Africa. 4th CSIR Biennial Conference: Real problems relevant solutions, CSIR, Pretoria, 9-10 October 2012
Park, R., Landman, W., & Engelbrecht, F. (2012). A short-range ensemble prediction system for southern Africa. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6248
Park, R, WA Landman, and F Engelbrecht. "A short-range ensemble prediction system for southern Africa." (2012): http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6248
Park R, Landman W, Engelbrecht F, A short-range ensemble prediction system for southern Africa; 2012. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/6248 .
