ResearchSpace

In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales?

Show simple item record

dc.contributor.author Landman, WA
dc.contributor.author Marx, E
dc.contributor.author Park, R
dc.contributor.author Landman, S
dc.contributor.author Lazenby, M
dc.date.accessioned 2012-04-03T10:12:34Z
dc.date.available 2012-04-03T10:12:34Z
dc.date.issued 2011-10
dc.identifier.citation Landman, WA, Marx, E, Park, R, Landman, S and Lazenby, M. In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales? Science Talks on global change, presented by the CSIR Knowledge Commons, CSIR, 28 October 2011 en_US
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5710
dc.description Science Talks on global change, presented by the CSIR Knowledge Commons, CSIR, 28 October 2011 en_US
dc.description.abstract Whilst climate change projections are suggesting an increase in temperature extremes over southern Africa, these extremes are not expected to happen every day or even every summer. Operational weather and seasonal forecasts can indicate whether or not the next week or the next months are to be associated with such temperature extremes. Weather forecasts for the next day may be predicted correctly 9 out of 10 consecutive days, but for seasonal time scales, even during the mid-summer season of highest predictability, forecast are typically correct only 3 or 4 out of 5 summer seasons. The presentation will present the current operational forecasting approaches employed by the South African Weather Service and by the CSIR to predict temperature extremes on operational forecast time scales, and show how skilful these forecasts are under certain conditions. en_US
dc.language.iso en en_US
dc.relation.ispartofseries Workflow;8656
dc.subject Temperature extremes en_US
dc.subject Prediction en_US
dc.subject Weather en_US
dc.subject Climate en_US
dc.title In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales? en_US
dc.type Conference Presentation en_US
dc.identifier.apacitation Landman, W., Marx, E., Park, R., Landman, S., & Lazenby, M. (2011). In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales?. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5710 en_ZA
dc.identifier.chicagocitation Landman, WA, E Marx, R Park, S Landman, and M Lazenby. "In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales?." (2011): http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5710 en_ZA
dc.identifier.vancouvercitation Landman W, Marx E, Park R, Landman S, Lazenby M, In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales?; 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5710 . en_ZA
dc.identifier.ris TY - Conference Presentation AU - Landman, WA AU - Marx, E AU - Park, R AU - Landman, S AU - Lazenby, M AB - Whilst climate change projections are suggesting an increase in temperature extremes over southern Africa, these extremes are not expected to happen every day or even every summer. Operational weather and seasonal forecasts can indicate whether or not the next week or the next months are to be associated with such temperature extremes. Weather forecasts for the next day may be predicted correctly 9 out of 10 consecutive days, but for seasonal time scales, even during the mid-summer season of highest predictability, forecast are typically correct only 3 or 4 out of 5 summer seasons. The presentation will present the current operational forecasting approaches employed by the South African Weather Service and by the CSIR to predict temperature extremes on operational forecast time scales, and show how skilful these forecasts are under certain conditions. DA - 2011-10 DB - ResearchSpace DP - CSIR KW - Temperature extremes KW - Prediction KW - Weather KW - Climate LK - https://researchspace.csir.co.za PY - 2011 T1 - In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales? TI - In a warming climate, just how predictable are temperature extremes at weather and seasonal time scales? UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10204/5710 ER - en_ZA


Files in this item

This item appears in the following Collection(s)

Show simple item record